Russian missile attack on Kharkiv kills 2 and injures 20. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 26.5% YES.

Russia attacks Kyiv, revealing Ukraine's air defense gaps. Recapture of Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 10.5% YES; Russian entry into Sloviansk at 26.0% YES.

Ukraine fails to intercept 29 Russian missiles in Kyiv attack, resulting in 25 deaths. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 26.5% YES.