US-Iran tensions escalate with military actions in the Strait of Hormuz. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 14.5% YES.

A retired US general warns of potential conflict over Iran's control of the Strait of Hormuz. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 11.5% YES.

US Central Command strikes Iran after attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 12.5% YES.

U.S. strikes Iran after Hormuz attacks; Tehran threatens retaliation, escalating tensions over maritime security and energy supplies.

Iran-US tensions escalate over the Strait of Hormuz crisis. U.S. invasion of Iran before 2027 now at 14.5% YES.

US-Iran tensions escalate with military actions in the Strait of Hormuz. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 14.5% YES.

US strikes Iran and revokes its oil export license after tanker attacks. Invasion of Iran before 2027 at 14.5% YES.

US military strikes target 80 Iranian assets, reducing the likelihood of a U.S.-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in 2026 to 30% YES.