Russia attacks Kyiv, revealing Ukraine's air defense gaps. Recapture of Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 10.5% YES; Russian entry into Sloviansk at 26.0% YES.

Russian missile strike on Kyiv kills 31, concluding rescue operations. Ceasefire by December 31, 2026 at 38.5% YES.

Russia escalated its attacks on Ukraine with 2,200 drones and 1,730 bombs in a week. Ukraine recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 11.5% YES.