China expands coast guard patrols around Taiwan. Invasion by December 31, 2027 at 12.5% YES, military clash before 2027 at 5.5% YES.

Taiwan faces a potential Chinese blockade and invasion amid rising tensions. Invasion by December 31, 2027 at 12.5% YES.

China launches coast guard patrol east of Taiwan amid tensions. Invasion by December 31, 2027 at 12.5% YES.