Iran holds a state funeral for Ayatollah Khamenei amid uncertainty. Leadership change by December 31 at 14.5% YES.

Iran mourns Khamenei after a US-Israeli airstrike. Leadership change by December 31 at 16.5% YES.

Iran prepares for a massive funeral for Ali Khamenei amid leadership transition. No head of state in Iran by end of 2026 at 97.5% YES.