UN reports a 40% rise in Ukrainian civilian casualties amid Russian attacks. Ukraine recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 11.5% YES.

Ukraine enhances long-range strike capabilities targeting deep within Russia. Recapture of Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 14% YES.

Ukraine escalates attacks on Russian infrastructure. Recapturing Crimean territory by December 31, 2026 at 12.5% YES.