Russia's military aims to capture the last 20% of Ukraine's Donetsk region by year-end. Capture of Sloviansk by December 31 at 8.5% YES.

Ukraine escalates attacks on Russian infrastructure. Recapturing Crimean territory by December 31, 2026 at 12.5% YES.

Russia launches intense missile and drone assault on Kyiv. Ukraine recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 11.5% YES.