Weak jobs growth and falling oil prices support expectations for a Fed rate hike pause. No rate cuts in 2026 at 77.6% YES.

Weaker US jobs data leads to lowered Fed rate hike expectations. Rate hike by September 2026 at 36.5% YES.

Fed's Warsh signals steady labor market and inflation focus. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by September 30 at 4.5% YES.

Weak July jobs data prompts a reassessment of Fed rate hike expectations. Rate cut by September 2026 at 5.5% YES.

Weaker US jobs data lowers Fed rate hike expectations. Rate hike by September 2026 now at 35.5% YES.