Ukraine escalates military pressure on Russian-held Crimea. Recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026, at 11.5% YES.

Ukraine expands missile strikes inside Russia, raising concerns of escalation. Russian nuclear test by December 31, 2026, at 10.9% YES.

Ukraine enhances long-range strike capabilities targeting deep within Russia. Recapture of Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 14% YES.

Ukraine strikes Russian warplanes at Crimea's Saky Air Base. Recapturing Crimean territory by December 31, 2026 at 13.5% YES.

Ukraine strikes Russia's Ufa oil refinery again, escalating the conflict. Ukraine recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 13.5% YES.

Ukraine escalates attacks on Russian infrastructure. Recapturing Crimean territory by December 31, 2026 at 12.5% YES.

Russia launches intense missile and drone assault on Kyiv. Ukraine recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 11.5% YES.

Ukraine strikes Russian oil refinery and UAV warehouse. Recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 11.5% YES.

Putin launches retaliatory strikes after Ukraine attacks. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 24% YES.

Ukraine escalates military pressure on Russian-held Crimea. Recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026, at 11.5% YES.

Blasts hit power substations in Crimea, triggering a state of emergency. Ukraine recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 10.5% YES.

Ukraine shows improved strike capabilities against Russian targets. Recapture of Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 11.5% YES.

Ukraine strikes Crimean air bases, damaging seven Russian aircraft. Recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026, at 11.5% YES.

Russia's military aims to capture the last 20% of Ukraine's Donetsk region by year-end. Capture of Sloviansk by December 31 at 8.5% YES.

UN reports a 40% rise in Ukrainian civilian casualties amid Russian attacks. Ukraine recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 11.5% YES.

Putin vows to seize more Ukrainian territory amid slowed advances. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 23% YES.