July 1, 2026: Polymarket traders expect a weaker S&P 500 open on the first trading day of the month after June capped strong quarterly and first-half gains.

June 30, 2026: Polymarket traders favor a higher S&P 500 open as easing Iran tensions boost risk appetite despite AI concerns.

July 1, 2026: Polymarket traders expect a weaker S&P 500 open on the first trading day of the month after June capped strong quarterly and first-half gains.

July 2, 2026: Polymarket traders are somewhat split on the S&P 500 ahead of the closely watched June jobs report and Fed outlook on Thursday.