Iran claims US agreed to Hezbollah's presence in Lebanon. Diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026 at 13% YES.

Hezbollah rejects US-mediated deal with Israel, raising tensions. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 2.1% YES.

Israel and Lebanon reached a US-mediated framework deal despite Hezbollah's rejection. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 0.9% YES; by July 31, 2026 at 6.

Iran claims US agreed to Hezbollah's presence in Lebanon. Diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026 at 13% YES.