Hezbollah targets IDF commanders in night operations amid ceasefire strain. Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 at 1.0% YES.

Israeli military strikes Hezbollah targets in southern Lebanon. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 11.3% YES.

Hezbollah attacks Israeli troops near Nabatiyeh, raising tensions. Peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 10.3% YES, and by July 31, 2026 at 26.5% YES.