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Goldman Cuts Recession Odds To 10% From 25%, Despite Expecting Big Slowdown In Payroll Gains

Goldman cut its 12-month US recession risk estimate further from 25% to the long-term norm of 15%. (and below the 20% estimate on the eve of the war). And while GS sees stronger macro supporting equities, AI valuations are becoming harder to justify after recent rally.

Raccontata dazerohedge.com

Timeline cronologica

  1. lunedì 22 giugno 2026·zerohedge.com

    Goldman Cuts Recession Odds To 10% From 25%, Despite Expecting Big Slowdown In Payroll Gains

    Goldman cut its 12-month US recession risk estimate further from 25% to the long-term norm of 15%. (and below the 20% estimate on the eve of the war). And while GS sees stronger…