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Prediction Market Philosophers Got What They Wanted. They’re Not Happy About It

Getting the future right is now big business. But at a festival in Berkeley, forecasters worry that sports markets could take the whole industry down.

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wired.comStai leggendo3 g fa

Prediction Market Philosophers Got What They Wanted. They’re Not Happy About It

Kalshi and Polymarket scaled to billions via sports betting, contradicting the truth-seeking mission—founders now worry. Research confirms gambling-like design and insider-trading risks; regulatory backlash looms if politics shift, threatening sector viability.

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From Chalamet to Messi, prediction markets are betting on celebrities to boost their brands

Kalshi signed multi-year partnerships with Messi, Chalamet, Modrić for user acquisition; deals worth eight- to nine-figures. The move signals prediction markets view ROI in celebrity-driven legitimacy to scale retail adoption in a high-stakes competitive environment.

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Prediction Market Philosophers Got What They Wanted. They’re Not Happy About It

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Prediction Market Philosophers Got What They Wanted. They’re Not Happy About It

From Chalamet to Messi, prediction markets are betting on celebrities to boost their brands

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Prediction Market Philosophers Got What They Wanted. They’re Not Happy About It

From Chalamet to Messi, prediction markets are betting on celebrities to boost their brands

Economists have long pushed for prediction markets. The reality is not what they’d hoped for | CNN Business

Economists have long pushed for prediction markets. The reality is not what they’d hoped for | CNN Business