Israel plans to expand its occupation of southern Lebanon, reducing the likelihood of a ceasefire; permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 17.5% YES.

Israel rejected a US request to withdraw troops from southern Lebanon. Permanent peace deal with Hezbollah by June 15, 2026 at 1.4% YES.

Israel will keep its military presence in southern Lebanon amid US talks. Permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026 at 33% YES.