Kalshi prediction markets price SpaceX human Mars launch odds at just 18-21% before 2030, reflecting deep trader skepticism about Musk's interplanetary

Traders on prediction market platform Kalshi see only an 18% chance the Elon Musk-led company gets to Earth's neighbor by 2030.

Kalshi prediction markets price SpaceX human Mars launch odds at just 18-21% before 2030, reflecting deep trader skepticism about Musk's interplanetary

SpaceX, owned by Elon Musk, has completed its IPO and is now focused on its goal of colonizing Mars. Prediction markets give 13% chance.