Goldman Sachs says bond traders see a 75% chance the Fed raises rates by end of 2026 as the Iran conflict pushes oil near $100 and inflation stays sticky.

US consumer inflation surpasses 4% amid rising energy prices from the Iran conflict. No Fed rate cuts in 2026 at 79% YES.

Bond traders maintain expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike by year-end, despite a softer US core inflation reading. This eased immediate pressure on the Fed to…