Brazil’s economy is doing well by almost any measure. Gross domestic product has grown at about 3 percent for three consecutive years, unemployment is at historic lows and inflation has fallen from a post-COVID-19 pandemic peak of more than 12 percent to about 4 percent. And yet, with a presidential election coming this October, Brazil — like the US during Joe Biden’s presidency — appears to be suffering a “vibecession.” Despite strong macroeconomic data, half of Brazilians believe the economy has gotten worse over the past year, whereas only one in four thinks it has improved.

Laura Carvalho & Guilherme Klein urge the government not to try managing negative sentiment at the expense of its structural reform agenda.

Brazil’s economy is doing well by almost any measure. Gross domestic product has grown at about 3 percent for three consecutive years, unemployment is at historic lows and…