May CPI hit 4.2% year-over-year, matching expectations and easing fears of aggressive Fed rate hikes. Equity futures rose ahead of Warsh's first FOMC

The main economic event of the week, namely Wednesday’s May US CPI report: in the past 100 years, once CPI crosses 4% on average SPX -4% next 3 months, -7% next 6 months.

The modest drop in year-ahead expectations took place as 1-year gas inflation expectations extended its recent decline, sliding to 4.96% in May from 5.11% in April and from 9.42%…