US consumer inflation surpasses 4% amid rising energy prices from the Iran conflict. No Fed rate cuts in 2026 at 79% YES.

Fed plans to hold rates through 2026 amid inflation concerns. Rate hike in 2026 at 55% YES.

US inflation expectations rise with a 13% pricing for a 4.4% or higher rate. Inflation above 4.4% in May at 13% YES.

US inflation hits a three-year high at 4.2%. Fed rate hike in 2026 at 51.5% YES.