The current ceasefire has held just enough to prevent a return to all-out war, but neither side is close to achieving peace, says Sanam Vakil, director of the Middle East and North Africa programme at Chatham House

Escalation between Israel and Lebanon is testing the US-Iran ceasefire and indirect talks to extend it, with Washington and Tehran also again exchanging strikes.

Both sides say the ceasefire between the US and Iran remains in place. But that line feels ever less grounded in reality.

The current ceasefire has held just enough to prevent a return to all-out war, but neither side is close to achieving peace, says Sanam Vakil, director of the Middle East and…

The US, Iran, Israel and Hezbollah all have reasons to avoid full-scale war. But none yet has a serious route to peace.