The current ceasefire has held just enough to prevent a return to all-out war, but neither side is close to achieving peace, says Sanam Vakil, director of the Middle East and North Africa programme at Chatham House

Escalation between Israel and Lebanon is testing the US-Iran ceasefire and indirect talks to extend it, with Washington and Tehran also again exchanging strikes.

The war nears its end with the U.S. not reaching its primary aim of regime change, the IRGC stronger in Iran and the region getting more unstable