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'A graveyard for pollsters': Exit polls, surveys miss the mark again

Major discrepancies between election forecasts and the final results of the June 3 local elections and National Assembly by-elections have sparked growing doubts about the accuracy of exit polls and pre-election surveys.

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koreajoongangdaily.joins.com

koreatimes.co.kr

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AI · summaries

koreajoongangdaily.joins.com3 mesi fa

Polling firms show discrepancies ahead of local elections in Korea despite shared survey methods

Korean polling firms reported divergent Seoul mayoral results (Chong: 39% vs 49.6%) despite using identical telephone interview methods, revealing significant 'house effect' driven by question wording and interviewer techniques. The systematic measurement variance illustrates how design choices—questionnaire wording, survey methodology—shape outcomes, underscoring data quality risks relevant to tech leaders managing AI training sets and feedback mechanisms.

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koreatimes.co.kr3 mesi fa

Oh Se-hoon defies exit poll to retain Seoul mayor's office in razor-thin race - The Korea Times

In a stunning political turnaround, incumbent Seoul Mayor Oh Se-hoon has secured a victory in Wednesday’s local elections, overcoming an early exit...

Timeline cronologica

mercoledì 3 giugno 2026·koreajoongangdaily.joins.com
Polling firms show discrepancies ahead of local elections in Korea despite shared survey methods
Polls ahead of June 3 local elections showed that results could vary sharply across polling firms, even when the same interviewer-administered telephone survey method was used.
giovedì 4 giugno 2026·koreatimes.co.kr
Oh Se-hoon defies exit poll to retain Seoul mayor's office in razor-thin race - The Korea Times