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Can Polymarket predict the progress of science, or are subject-experts better?
Online prediction markets are taking bets on everything from climate change to quantum computing. But researchers question their accuracy.
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a16zcrypto.com
Why prediction markets matter - a16z crypto
Prediction markets, which allow people to trade on event outcomes, entered the U.S. at scale last year and are now being used to track everything from geopolitics to entertainment…
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nature.com
Can Polymarket predict the progress of science, or are subject-experts better?
Online prediction markets are taking bets on everything from climate change to quantum computing. But researchers question their accuracy.