Trump suggests a potential deal for Iran to surrender enriched uranium. Surrender by December 31, 2026 at 66% YES.

Iran is finalizing a nuclear deal framework with the US. Nuclear agreement by June 30 at 26% YES.

Trump claims the US is close to an agreement with Iran, reducing conflict risk. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 22.5% YES.

Trump warns of potential military action as Iran nuclear deal talks stall. US-Iran nuclear deal by June at 31.5% YES.

Trump's military strikes on Iran and Venezuela decrease confidence in a US-Iran peace deal. Nuclear deal by May 31 at 17.3% YES.

Bitcoin rises after Trump announces an Iran peace agreement. US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 at 77% YES.

US officials say Tehran’s commitment to surrender its highly enriched uranium is central to the proposed agreement, though details on how it would happen remain unresolved

Trump is close to signing a nuclear deal with Iran. Deal by June 30 priced at 46% YES, and before 2027 at 80% YES.

Iran has reportedly agreed to give up enriched uranium stockpile under a potential U.S. nuclear deal.

Iran has tentatively agreed to relinquish its highly enriched uranium stockpile, a key step in US-led peace talks aimed at addressing hostilities and nuclear enrichment limits.

Iran denies agreement to hand over enriched uranium stockpile. Surrender by December 31, 2026 at 53.5% YES.

Trump demands Iran dismantle its nuclear program for any deal. US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31 at 26% YES.

US officials say Iran agreed in principle to dispose of enriched uranium stockpile. Surrender by Dec 31, 2026 at 50.5% YES; full enrichment end at 42.5% YES.

Trump says Iran deal isn't fully negotiated yet, sending near-term odds crashing. US-Iran agreement by May 26 at 18.5% YES, down from 60% yesterday.

Trump's "no dust, no dollars" ultimatum demands Iran surrender uranium before any deal. Iran uranium surrender by Dec 2026 at 51.5% YES, June 2026 at 25.5%.

Trump demanded Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Turkey join Abraham Accords as part of Iran talks. US-Iran deal by May 26 at 15% YES; by June 7 at 63.5% YES.

Trump suggests a potential deal for Iran to surrender enriched uranium. Surrender by December 31, 2026 at 66% YES.

US-Israeli airstrikes hit Iranian vessels amid Trump's uranium demands. US invasion of Iran before 2027 now at 19.5% YES.

Iran's tensions rise with US-Israel strikes and Trump's uranium surrender call. Surrender of enriched uranium by December 31, 2026 at 39.5% YES.

US President Donald Trump has said Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile must either be transferred to the United States or eliminated under international supervision as part of any…