Trump swore in Kevin Warsh as Fed chair and called him "totally independent." With inflation at 3.8%, Polymarket traders are betting on a hike, not a cut.

Inflation is rising and there is a consensus forming among economists that interest rates should not come down in the near future.

Warsh faces more political pressure to deliver lower rates than any other Federal Reserve chair in recent memory.

President Donald Trump urged newly minted Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh on Friday to operate "independently."