Iran decides to keep near-weapons-grade uranium, impacting negotiations. Agreement to end enrichment by December 31 at 53.5% YES.

Trump holds a Situation Room meeting amid stalled US-Iran nuclear talks. Nuclear deal by June 30 at 20.5% YES, next diplomatic meeting by then at 48.9% YES.

Iran proposed a long truce and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in US nuclear talks. Nuclear deal by June at 24.5% YES, traffic normalization by May at 5.2% YE

Iran proposes a truce and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic returns to normal by end of May at 5% YES.

US rejected Iran's peace proposal ahead of a Situation Room meeting. Diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026 at 44.5% YES.

Iran tightens control over the Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions. US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30 at 48% YES.

Iran escalates military action amid US conflict. Israel-Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 16% YES.

Iran's nuclear test raises regional tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal by June at 28.5% YES.

US issues ultimatum to Iran, raising military escalation risk. Military action by Iran against neighbors at 34% YES.

Trump announced US-Iran nuclear deal talks are in final stages, making a $150 oil spike less likely. WTI at 1.4% YES for $150 in May 2026.

By Parisa Hafezi and Rami AyyubDUBAI, May 21 (Reuters) - Iran's Supreme Leader has issued a directive that the country's near-weapons-grade uranium should not be sent abroad, two…

Iran decides to keep near-weapons-grade uranium, impacting negotiations. Agreement to end enrichment by December 31 at 53.5% YES.

Iran's Supreme Leader orders near-weapons-grade enriched uranium to stay in the country, hardening Tehran's stance and complicating US nuclear negotiations.

Tehran is hardening its stance on one of the main U.S. demands.

Trump vows to retrieve and likely destroy Iran's uranium stockpile. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium by December 31, 2026 at 43.5% YES.

Trump vows US will recover uranium from Iran amid nuclear talks. US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31 at 26% YES.