Oil prices remain near $100 despite the Hormuz disruption, but inventory drawdowns, spare capacity limits, and structural constraints suggest a delayed supply shock ahead.

A Chinese supertanker carrying 2 million barrels of Iraqi crude sailed through the strait on Wednesday after being stranded in the Gulf for more than two months | World News

Oil prices could top $130-$140 a barrel next month if the strait remains closed and inventory depletion rates remain steady, according to Capital Economics.