Trump's warning about potential strikes on Iran raises oil supply concerns. WTI Crude at $110 in May 2026 now at 62% YES.

US-Iran tensions ease with assurances on the Strait of Hormuz. WTI Crude Oil at $150 in May 2026 now at 2.2% YES.

Iran tensions drive WTI crude oil surge. WTI crude oil up on May 15 at 89.5% YES; no Fed rate cuts in 2026 at 67.0% YES.