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Israel escalates military actions in Lebanon, dims diplomatic meeting prospects
Israel escalates military actions in Lebanon, reducing chances for talks. Ceasefire extension by May 15 at 40% YES.
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Israel and Lebanon begin peace talks in Washington amid ceasefire uncertainty
Israel and Lebanon begin peace talks in Washington. Ceasefire extended by May 14 at 4% YES, by May 15 at 34.5% YES, and by May 16 at 50.5% YES.
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Israel, US consider renewed military attacks on Iran amid tensions
Israel and the US consider renewed military attacks on Iran. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 17.5% YES.
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Israeli soldier killed by Hezbollah mortar fire near Litani River in Lebanon
An Israeli soldier was killed by Hezbollah mortar fire in Lebanon. Israel strikes 4 countries in November 2025 at 30.1% YES.
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Israel strikes Lebanon, ceasefire extension prospects dim
Israel strikes Lebanon, reducing ceasefire extension chances. Ceasefire by May 16 at 51% YES.
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Israel escalates military actions in Lebanon, dims diplomatic meeting prospects
Israel escalates military actions in Lebanon, reducing chances for talks. Ceasefire extension by May 15 at 40% YES.
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Israel strikes Lebanon amid US peace talks, ceasefire extension in doubt
Israel strikes Lebanon amid ongoing peace talks. Ceasefire extension by May 15 at 36.5% YES.
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Israel targets Hamas commander amid escalating military operations
Israel targeted a Hamas commander amid escalating military operations. Ceasefire extension by May 15 now at 9.5% YES.
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Israel and Lebanon extend ceasefire by 45 days amid US-brokered talks
Israel and Lebanon extended their ceasefire by 45 days. Ceasefire announcement by May 15 at 88% YES.
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UN reports Israeli military obstructed peacekeepers in Lebanon, raising tension
UN reports Israeli military obstructed peacekeepers in Lebanon, signaling reduced confidence in ceasefire. Ceasefire extension by May 15 at 89.5% YES.
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Israeli airstrikes hit southern Lebanon, escalating regional conflict
Israeli airstrikes hit southern Lebanon, escalating regional conflict. Israel closes its airspace by May 31 at 30.5% YES.
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US, Israel consider military escalation against Iran amid regional tensions
US and Israel consider military escalation against Iran. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 15.5% YES, down from 18% yesterday.