A once little-known private oil producer in Venezuela has surged to prominence after the US announced an unprecedented partnership that aims to significantly grow oil production in the South American Opec member. But the US deal with North American Blue Energy Partners (Nabep), for which few details have been disclosed despite facilitating unheard-of US government participation in Venezuela's oil resources, raises far more questions than it provides answers. Industry watchers and experts have expressed deep skepticism about almost every aspect of it — from its ability to survive legally and politically to the realism surrounding Venezuela's crude costs and production constraints to how exactly barrels would be marketed. The US-Nabep deal and US-Venezuela bilateral framework that helps underpin it are highly unusual, to say the least. David Goldwyn and Andrea Clabough of the Washington-based Atlantic Council note that oil companies typically work with governments to secure leases and define terms around items such as lease durations, producer responsibilities and production sharing. "Investors must be certain of what the contractual terms and conditions they are operating under [are] before they commit billions of dollars in resources to a given project," they wrote. But the award of 17 oil fields in the Lake Maracaibo and Orinoco Belt areas to Nabep — done on an apparent no-bid basis directly with the unelected Delcy Rodriguez administration — does not appear to be purely commercially driven, with the US government inserting itself into the mix as a new 35% stakeholder in Nabep and cheerleading the vast sums of investment the deal will unlock. The US and Venezuelan governments, meanwhile, penned a deeply opaque bilateral agreement to facilitate the arrangement. Together, the dealmaking raises "more questions than facts," according to one source. The deals' political future is also uncertain: "New investments in Venezuela's oil sector could prove highly election-sensitive, not just in Venezuela (where a future government could reject previously agreed bargains) but also in the US (where a Democrat[ic] sweep in the 2028 elections could bring a similar result)," noted analysts with Washington-based Clearview Energy. The Nabep awards come with either a 100-year or 25-year concession term, depending on whether Washington or Caracas is describing it, and target fields with a claimed 65 billion barrels of proved oil reserves, with an aggressive, but unspecified, development timeline.
Intense Skepticism Surrounds US' 'Historic' Venezuela Oil Deal
Experts say the US government's unprecedented tie-up with Venezuelan E&P Nabep deserves intense scrutiny — particularly around "at-cost" oil and Nabep's capacity to deliver.







