That projection carries a risk the budget does not price. South Sudan’s crude leaves through a single pipeline across Sudan, and a drone strike on the Heglig processing facility in November forced a shutdown.

The operator declared force majeure at the time. We have found no confirmation that it has been formally lifted.

Officials said in June that production had recovered to about 174,000 barrels a day. That is a production claim rather than verified export throughput.

SOUTH SUDAN · ECONOMY

Key Facts