Russia has reportedly ordered military plans targeting Kyiv and Chernihiv, according to Pavlo Palisa, Deputy Head of the Presidential Office of Ukraine. Ukrainian intelligence has confirmed these plans, although no strike force is currently being mobilized in these directions. Despite the absence of immediate troop movements, the Ukrainian General Staff has prepared defensive measures in response to these potential threats. This development comes amidst ongoing hostilities in the Ukraine conflict, with no ceasefire currently in place.

Key Takeaways

Markets suggest that Russia’s planning towards Kyiv and Chernihiv may indicate a potential escalation, affecting the likelihood of Russian actions in Sloviansk.

Current pricing for Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026, has risen to 19.5% YES, reflecting increased caution among market participants.

The absence of a formed strike force implies that immediate military action is not expected, but the planning has nevertheless influenced market dynamics.