Plenty of States Have Flipped. Texas Could Too.

By

Ed Kilgore,

political columnist for Intelligencer since 2015

Is James Talarico doomed to be the latest disappointing Texas Democrat?

For a data-driven number cruncher of the highest order, Nate Silver is refreshingly honest in admitting his skepticism about the Senate candidacy of Texas Democrat James Talarico is a “gut” hunch that may even reflect a bit of superstition. In a piece this week, Silver went through all the reasons his election model rates Talarico as a slight favorite over Republican Ken Paxton and refuted some misconceptions about the Texas Senate race (e.g., that recent Democratic Senate losers like Beto O’Rourke did just as well in polls as Talarico).