New single-family home sales in the US tumbled to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 607,000 in July, according to joint data from the Census Bureau and HUD released on August 25. That’s a 10.5% decline from June’s revised figure of 678,000, and the weakest reading since January.
Economists had expected something in the range of 615,000 to 620,000. The actual number came in below even the low end of that consensus. Year-over-year, sales fell 6.3% from 648,000 in July 2025.
Mortgage rates quietly tightened the squeeze
The 30-year fixed mortgage rate averaged roughly 6.54% in July, up from 6.49% in June. Applications for new-home purchases declined year-over-year, per MBA estimates.
The regional picture wasn’t evenly distributed. Weakness concentrated in the Midwest and South, two markets that had previously benefited from relative affordability compared to coastal metros.
