Politics: Brazil

Key Facts

—Where the race stands. Datafolha on 21 August put Lula on 39% and Flávio Bolsonaro on 33%.

—How fast it is closing. Lula led by 12 points in mid-July. Quaest now has seven, Datafolha six.

—The catch: Quaest’s 14 August runoff was 43% to 40% — a tie inside the margin of error.