Lula leads every poll three months from the vote. Since 4 July Brazilian law has also switched off most of the advantages an incumbent normally enjoys.
Elections
Key Facts
—The lead. Meio/Ideia, polling 3–6 July, puts Lula on 40.4% and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro on 32% in the first round.
—The verdict. In the same survey, 41% call the government bad or terrible against 32.5% who call it good or excellent.
—The floor. Swap Flávio for Michelle Bolsonaro and Lula stays on exactly 40.4%; only the opposition’s number moves.
Lula da Silva recupera la ventaja sobre Flávio Bolsonaro a tres meses de las presidenciales en Brasil
Lula consolida su ventaja sobre Flavio Bolsonaro, el candidato de la derecha
Lula recupera ventaja sobre Flávio Bolsonaro a tres meses de las presidenciales en Brasil
¿Lula o Flávio Bolsonaro? Las elecciones en Brasil pondrán a prueba la ola de derecha en América Latina
Meio Ideia: Lula mantém vantagem sobre Flávio Bolsonaro no 2º turno
A popularidade de Lula em São Paulo a menos de 3 meses da eleição, segundo o Datafolha
Lula mantém vantagem sobre Flávio Bolsonaro no 2º turno, aponta Meio Ideia
Las no elegidas en Brasil
A popularidade de Lula a menos de 3 meses da eleição, segundo pesquisa Ideia
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Lula leads Bolsonaro by 7 points in the latest poll for the 2026 election. Lula's win at 57.5% YES.
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has retained a lead over right-wing opposition senator Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of…
Brazil’s October election now looks like a coin-flip, writes AQ’s editor-in-chief.
Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and rSen. Flávio Bolsonaro are tied for a potential runoff in the Oct. 4…
Brazil · Elections Key Facts —Six-point swing: Lula now leads Flavio Bolsonaro 48.9 to 41.8 percent in a second-round runoff,…
