The Windup Newsletter ⚾ | This is The Athletic’s MLB newsletter. Sign up here to receive The Windup directly in your inbox.How far are you looking ahead? To today’s nine-game slate, the postseason or even the offseason?In this week’s mailbag, today staging a Windup takeover, I let my mind wander into the latter. I focused on answering questions regarding contracts, targets, extensions and what it will take to get that one player your team really wants.Below are a few highlights. (Submissions were edited for clarity and brevity.)And as a reminder: Levi is out for the next two weeks, playing sandlot baseball at the Field of Dreams, among other spots.MLB Mailbag: Let’s answer your contract questionsJazz Chisholm Jr. free agency: Is he back in the Bronx on a 1-year prove-it deal? — Nick B.It sure doesn’t feel like it right now, but Chisholm is still on pace for a three-win season, which is not bad to consider while enduring the worst slump of your career. Trevor Story signed for six years and $140 million off that kind of season.The question for Chisholm will be how teams balance the one-year sample versus the larger one. If he finishes this year around 3.0 WAR, he’ll have 11.5 WAR over the last three years — more than Cody Bellinger had when he signed his $162 million deal with the Yankees last winter and close to the number Corey Seager had when he signed his $325 million contract with the Rangers.However, I’ve generally found that teams heavily weigh the season entering free agency. Bellinger was close to a five-win season; Seager was at 3.6 but had been hurt.I would expect teams would be interested in multi-year deals for Chisholm, but probably in the four-year range (and maybe between $20 million and $25 million per year). That means that, yes, a team with the Yankees’ resources should absolutely extend him the qualifying offer. (This entire paragraph, I should acknowledge, does require Chisholm to break out of this slump sometime between now and the end of the Yankees’ season.)If Chisholm wants to bet on himself to reel in a huge deal, well, there’s a blueprint. The last second baseman whose numbers resembled Chisholm’s did take a one-year, prove-it deal. Marcus Semien proved it in Toronto, setting a new record for home runs by a second baseman, and he signed for seven years and $175 million one winter later with Texas.How will both existing contracts and ones signed between now and Dec. 1 be affected by the new CBA? I understand that no one knows what the new deal will include for salary constraints, but GMs must be thinking about how past and future contracts will be impacted. — Rosemary P.Yep, nobody knows.If a salary cap and floor are instituted, they could be phased in over a few years and could include amnesty provisions that allow teams to get out of one onerous contract that would otherwise count against the cap, etc.
What your favorite player’s extension could look like. Plus: Would MLBers go international amid lockout?
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