Two of the smartest political handicappers give their predictions.
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Axios CEO Jim VandeHei asked two of the smartest political handicappers to help us think about 2026 midterm outcomes:
Where it stands: 53 Republicans, 45 Democrats, 2 independents caucusing with Dems (making 47 total).
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Republicans fear the president's approval, while Democrats are scared of Electoral College reapportionment.
It looks like both parties will try to redraw districts yearly instead of once a decade.
If the election were held today, which party would win a majority in the House and Senate?
Axios' analysis shows how the 2026 map math changed.
2026 midterm bets on Polymarket and Kalshi show Democrats favored for the House as Senate races draw millions.
While public sentiment has drifted in Democrats’ favor in many of the midterm House races, Republicans have strong-armed a…
