There is an 81 percent chance that the El Niño expected to peak between October and December and possibly persist into early 2027 could become one of the most powerful events since 1950. This is according to a projection by the US Climate Prediction Center (CPC).
That forecast should serve as a wake-up call for the government and all institutions responsible for disaster preparedness and response. The question is no longer whether Kenya should prepare, but whether it is ready.
If preparedness is the country's first line of defense, the budget does little to reflect that priority. The 2026/27 National Budget contains no dedicated allocation for El Niño preparedness, meaning any response will depend on existing disaster management and contingency financing.
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