A prediction market asking where Stephen Curry will play next has already attracted $4 million in trading volume on Kalshi, the CFTC-regulated event contract platform. Current odds price the likelihood of Curry staying with the Golden State Warriors or retiring somewhere between 84% and 94%.
The market launched in late July 2026, during a stretch of NBA trade speculation involving the Warriors.
Kalshi’s crypto pivot is accelerating
Kalshi launched crypto perpetual futures in early June 2026, covering assets including Bitcoin and Ethereum. Those contracts surpassed $1 billion in notional volume within a single week of going live.
The platform now supports crypto deposits of up to $500,000 per transaction. On July 22, 2026, Kalshi integrated with Talos, an institutional trading platform, giving professional traders direct access to both event contracts and crypto perpetuals through a single interface.
