Ukraine’s economy expanded 0.6% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2026, according to a flash estimate published by the State Statistics Service of Ukraine, coming in below the National Bank of Ukraine’s (NBU) own calculation of 0.8% growth for the same period.On a seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter basis, real GDP rose 0.4% from the first quarter of 2026. If one compares these results to the second quarter of 2025, real GDP rose by 0.6%, according to the agency.JOIN US ON TELEGRAMFollow our coverage of the war on the @Kyivpost_official.The flash estimate is based on preliminary statistical data on real production growth rates across sectors of economic activity, with preliminary full Q2 2026 figures due in September 2026.The gap between the two figures surfaced on Tuesday, after the state released the data on Facebook, when the NBU addressed the estimate at its monetary policy briefing on July 30.Meanwhile, the estimate fully coincided with the published 0.6% for the second quarter, forecasted by the Institute for Economic Research and Policy Consulting (IER), per IER’s analyst Oleksandra Betliy.According to the NBU, growth resumed in the second quarter thanks to an improving energy system and rising budget expenditures amid lower uncertainty over foreign aid. Expanded budget spending is supporting economic growth, but the effects of intensified Russian attacks on infrastructure and business facilities will continue to restrain it.