Analysis by the Pakistan Solar Association finds roughly 51 TWh of generation that never appears on grid-side data, as rooftop and off-grid solar spreads faster than official statistics. The association claims unseen generation can be inferred from a deepening midday demand trough, with network design suffering as a result.
Distributed solar counts for far more electricity generation in Pakistan than can be recorded in official data, according to new analysis from the Pakistan Solar Association (PSA), with demand patterns pointing to millions of new unseen installations.
Analysis of Lahore Electric Supply Company (LESCO) data shows a deepening curve of lower demand in Pakistan’s peak sunlight hours, falling from a relatively flat profile of around 2.2 GW in 2024 to just 765 MW in 2026. The electricity demand ramp up into the evening now exceeds 1.1 GW over four hours on LESCO’s network.
PSA’s analysis claims that once behind-the-meter and off-grid generation is counted, distributed solar supplied close to 27% of all electricity generated in Pakistan in the 2025 fiscal year, roughly 51 TWh of which never appears in grid-side data. This lifts Pakistan’s true generation from about 135 TWh to 186 TWh.
