WHAT IF REPUBLICANS LOSE BOTH HOUSE AND SENATE? The odds are Republicans will lose control of the House in the coming midterm elections, for five reasons: 1) their current majority is so narrow that losing a literal handful of seats would cost them control; 2) they will be hurt by President Donald Trump’s low job approval rating, especially on his handling of the economy; 3) the so-called “generic ballot” poll shows voters would prefer a Democrat to represent them in the House; 4) the war in Iran/the Middle East will be a continuing source of uncertainty and tension for the GOP; and 5) precedent strongly suggests the party that controls the White House will lose a substantial number of House seats.So what if Democrats win? Although there is some internal party debate on this question, there’s a real possibility that a new Democratic majority in the House would impeach Trump for a third time. And there’s no doubt in the world that Democrats would kill the president’s legislative agenda. As bad as that is, it’s a situation Trump could live with because 1) a third impeachment would have a been-there-done-that quality, and Trump would prevail again; and 2) beyond the SAVE America Act, which will not pass this year, Trump doesn’t really have a legislative agenda to kill.Losing the Senate, on the other hand, would be damaging to Trump because he needs to have his nominees — for the courts and his administration — confirmed. A united Democratic majority in the Senate could stop all that cold, and probably would, given the state of today’s politics.
What if Republicans lose both House and Senate?
How much of a chance does Trump have of losing the Senate? The answer appears to be more of a chance than he had a few months ago.






