SummaryTrump claims Iran wants talks; Tehran again denies any US negotiations.Trump says Gulf allies halted planned US strikes in favor of diplomacy.Iran says Hormuz talks with Oman are progressing, but US actions remain the obstacle.Oil prices still falling on optimism over Hormuz negotiations & uptick in transit.Tehran is betting it can outlast Trump by raising the costs of confrontation.Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes 21% · No 80%View full market & trade on Polymarket * * *Trump: Looking for Solution 'Caused' by IranPresident Trump on Monday issued a new Truth Social, perhaps trying to explain his latest weekend TACO move, accusing Iran's leadership of being "unbelievably duplicitous," claiming Tehran privately sought and sheduled talks while publicly insisting it is only dealing with Oman. He asserted that the Strait of Hormuz is already "completely controlled by the United States Navy" through what he called the "United States Wall of Steel," adding that "nothing gets through to Iran" unless Washington allows it. Trump also insisted discussions toward a resolution are underway despite Iranian denials, while reiterating his bottom line: "IRAN WILL NEVER HAVE A NUCLEAR WEAPON!"Trump is increasingly letting his frustration and 'exasperation' go public. This seems to only confirm that indeed there are no talks taking place at this point. The US president continues to insist that the whole crisis was "caused" by the Iranians "for decades" but that it is the US now looking for a "solution" - but Iran won't play ball, after apparently 'begging' for talks...We're only 5 months in... one wonders what the narrative will be with the US still bogged down in Hormuz by November:To get a sense of how long the MAGA base will keep falling for Trump’s bullshit-through-military-defeat, during Dubya’s presidency it took until mid-2006, or 3 years after it was obvious what a disaster his Iraq war was, for his GOP base to begin to peel.
