Wall Street hit the pause button on July 29 as two of the market’s biggest catalysts lined up back to back: a Federal Reserve interest rate decision and earnings from the two largest companies on the planet.

Stocks traded in a narrow range as the two-day FOMC meeting wrapped up, with the rate announcement and Chair Kevin Warsh’s press conference scheduled for 2:00 p.m. and 2:30 p.m. ET respectively. The consensus expectation is that the Fed will hold the federal funds rate at 3.5% to 3.75%, the same level set after the previous meeting in mid-June, which was widely characterized as hawkish.

The Fed’s holding pattern and what Warsh might signal

The June 16-17 FOMC meeting left markets with a distinctly hawkish taste. Traders will be parsing every syllable for clues about whether the committee’s stance has softened, or whether inflation concerns continue to keep rate cuts on the shelf.

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