https://www.newyorker.com/tag/donald-trump
A competitive race is unfolding in South Carolina for the Senate seat previously held by Lindsey Graham, following his death on July 11, 2026. The special election has attracted significant attention due to the involvement of high-profile candidates and the influence of former President Donald Trump. Trump has endorsed Darline Graham Nordone, Lindsey Graham’s sister and the interim senator, yet her candidacy is not leading in early polls. Instead, the Republican primary shows no clear frontrunner, with Representative Ralph Norman polling at 16.4%, Mark Lynch at 12.5%, and Darline Graham Nordone at 5.9%. This fragmented field suggests Trump’s endorsement may not secure a decisive victory in the upcoming primary on August 11, 2026.
Key Takeaways
Market pricing suggests that Ralph Norman’s chances of securing the Republican nomination are viewed with increasing uncertainty, with current pricing at 8% YES.
Darline Graham Nordone, despite Trump’s endorsement, appears to face significant challenges in the primary, as reflected by her lower polling numbers.
