Russia has been avoiding the mention of mobilization in public messaging ahead of autumn’s State Duma elections, according to Andriy Chernyak, an officer from Ukraine’s Military Intelligence (HUR).Speaking to state media Ukrinform, Chernyak said Kyiv still acknowledges the risks of a major mobilization in Russia despite the lack of public messaging.JOIN US ON TELEGRAMFollow our coverage of the war on the @Kyivpost_official.“The Kremlin will now avoid the topic of mobilization as much as possible and say that it will not happen because they are preparing for the elections,” Chernyak said.“If enemy leaders and propagandists now let the population understand that it will happen, it is not known how the Russians will react to this,” he continued.“According to the estimates of the military intelligence of Ukraine, the probability of mobilization in Russia after the elections remains.”In June, a Russian lawmaker said Kremlin leader Vladimir Putin might announce a new wave of mobilization in autumn, after the State Duma elections, with senior officials in Kyiv sharing similar assessments.Regarding the current manpower situation within the Russian military, Chernyak said Russia simply needs to find enough troops to fill its existing capacity.“They have enough training centers, they have enough existing training grounds. And mobilization is needed to strengthen those areas that already exist,” he said.“That is, they do not need a new infrastructure for mobilization, they just need ‘cannon fodder’ that will go to war,” he added.