The US housing market just delivered the economic equivalent of a shrug and a fist pump at the same time. Building permits fell 3.0% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.367 million units in June, while housing starts surged 19.0% to 1.427 million units, according to the US Census Bureau’s report released July 17.

The numbers behind the contradiction

June’s 1.367 million permit rate came in below the revised May figure of 1.410 million and sat 2.3% lower than where permits stood in June 2025. Single-family permits slipped 2.4% month-over-month to 871,000 units. Multifamily permits for buildings with five or more units came in at 445,000.

The 19.0% jump in housing starts to 1.427 million units reflects a bounce from May’s revised figure of 1.199 million starts. Single-family starts hit 895,000 in June, while multifamily starts reached 513,000. The Census Bureau noted that the starts figure carries a margin of error of plus or minus 15.9%.

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