https://www.newyorker.com/tag/donald-trump

Former President Donald Trump has called upon the Director of National Intelligence and the FBI to investigate China’s alleged theft of voter data in 18 U.S. states. This request comes amid claims from newly declassified intelligence that suggest China accessed voter data for public opinion analysis during the 2020 election. Despite these allegations, U.S. intelligence agencies have consistently found no evidence that China altered votes or disrupted election results. The move appears to be part of a broader strategy to address election infrastructure vulnerabilities ahead of the 2026 midterms.

Markets have reacted strongly to Trump’s latest request, with pricing now overwhelmingly suggesting a YES outcome in prediction markets focused on whether Trump will accuse China of election interference. The probability of a YES resolution has surged to 99.4%, up from 62% just 24 hours ago. This sharp increase reflects the market’s interpretation of Trump’s actions as consistent with a formal accusation of foreign interference.

China has firmly denied the allegations, condemning them as “unjustified and ridiculous” and urging the U.S. to cease its accusations. The ongoing developments have heightened tensions and could influence future diplomatic relations as the U.S. administration deliberates on further actions.