https://soudal-quickstepteam.com/en/team/tim-merlier
Tim Merlier achieved his third stage victory at the 2026 Tour de France by winning Stage 12, which covered a 179.1 km flat route from Circuit de Nevers Magny-Cours to Chalon-sur-Saône. This victory strengthens Merlier’s competitive position in the sprinters’ competition. Meanwhile, Tadej Pogačar maintained his lead in the general classification, holding a significant advantage over his closest competitor, Jonas Vingegaard. With 10 stages remaining until the race concludes in Paris, Pogačar’s continued dominance enhances his chances of securing the 2026 title.
The market for the Tour de France 2026 winner currently reflects strong confidence in Pogačar’s prospects, with prices suggesting a 95% probability of him winning the overall race. This figure has remained steady over the past 24 hours, indicating consistent support for his chances among market participants. The victory by Merlier and Pogačar’s maintained lead appear to have reinforced this outlook, further solidifying Pogačar’s standing as the favorite.
Key Takeaways
Merlier’s third stage win suggests strong performance in the sprinters’ competition.












